BOR B2S2 III: Modelling the impact of COVID-19 on the health system capacity in Latin America

Kathya Cordova-Pozo (presenting author) (Institute for Management Research, Radboud University, P.O. Box 9108, 6500 HK Nijmegen, The Netherlands), Hubert Korzilius (presenting author), (Institute for Management Research, Radboud University, P.O. Box 9108, 6500 HK Nijmegen, The Netherlands), Etiënne Rouwette, (Institute for Management Research, Radboud University, P.O. Box 9108, 6500 HK Nijmegen, The Netherlands), Gabriela Píriz, (Dirección Técnica de Servicio Médico Integral, Luis Alberto de Herrera 2275, Montevideo 11600, Uruguay), Rolando Herrera-Gutierrez (Centro Integral de Medicina Familiar CIMFA, Caja Nacional de Salud, Villa Galindo, Calle La Merced s/n., Cochabamba, Bolivia; Graciela Cordova-Pozo (Unit of anaesthesiology, Hospital Seton Caja Petrolera de Salud, Km 5 Av. Blanco Galindo, Cochabamba, Bolivia; Department of Pathophysiology, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Mayor de San Simón, Av. Aniceto Arce s/n, Cochabamba, Bolivia), Miguel Orozco (Freelance Consultant in Health and Development, Managua, Nicaragua)

February 10th, 2022

12 AM to 12.40 PM (UK GMT-1)

1 PM; to 1.40 PM (CET, Berlin)

Abstract:

Similar interventions to stop the spread of COVID-19 led to different outcomes in Latin American countries. This study aimed to capture the multicausality of factors affecting Health System capacity that could help plan a more effective response, considering health as well as social aspects. A facilitated GMB was conducted with experts and validated with extant scientific literature and a survey in wider populations. The results show a similar four-factor structure in three countries that includes public administration, preparedness, information, and collective self-efficacy. Statistical analyses show that these factors are the base for similarities and differences which increase the understanding of the pandemic based on country-specific context and can aid policymaking by including them in future pandemic response models.

Why should you join?

  • A facilitated modelling approach containing two interesting topics for a behavioural operational research perspective: 1) online use of modelling, 2) the comparison of the model to questionnaire data.
  • Validation of GMB in wider populations.
  • COVID-19 in Latin America and its possible explanations on the different outcomes.
  • Give your opinion about future steps in this research field.