223. Modelling risk-factors for non-communicable diseases
Contributed abstract in session TA-4: Epidemiology and Prevention, stream Regular talks.
Tuesday, 9:00-10:30Room: Room S3
Authors (first author is the speaker)
| 1. | Steffen Bayer
|
| Southampton Business School, University of Southampton |
Abstract
Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) are the leading public health challenge globally, with disproportionately higher rates in developing countries due to unhealthy diets, physical inactivity, tobacco use, and harmful use of alcohol; systemic, and structural factors include weak and non-performing health systems as well as problems such as air pollution. Programmatic inefficiencies and operational failures of both the health and food systems also contribute to the rising burden of NCDs. In addition, population ageing acts in tandem as older individuals have an increased risk of NCDs. This presentation will introduce a hybrid modelling approach to simulating the effect of risk factor management on (primary and secondary) prevention of cardio-vascular diseases and diabetes. The model allows to compare the effect of public health interventions on long term health status of the population and can support health policy making.
Keywords
- Modelling and simulation
- Epidemiology and disease modelling
Status: accepted
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