23rd Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies
Abstract Submission

1477. Data-driven dynamic predictive model, to assess the probability of students failing online/blended courses

Invited abstract in session TE-12: Learning Analytics, cluster Analytics and Data Science.

Tuesday, 16:15-17:45
Room: FENP201

Authors (first author is the speaker)

1. Cecilia Saint-Pierre
Universidad de Chile
2. Thomas Peet
EOL, Universidad de Chile
3. Galina Deeva
KU Leuven
4. Richard Weber
Department of Industrial Engineering, FCFM, University of Chile

Abstract

Learning management systems (LMS), massively popular in higher education institutions, whether for online or blended courses, and with large amounts of data, have led to the development of computational models to help instructors improve student learning experiences and monitor student progress through various indicators and visualizations, based on learning analytics techniques.

In this study, a sequential classification technique was applied on event log data, collected by the LMS platform implemented at the University of Chile and analyzed by time windows, reflecting student behavior during a course. The presented algorithm generates a pass/fail probability with a predictive model trained by behavioral data from previous versions of the same course and the consequent final student scores. The daily addition of student-generated data to the platform allows the model to create dynamic predictions helping instructors identify underperforming students early in the course.

Keywords

Status: accepted


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