EURO 2025 Leeds
Abstract Submission

1760. Application of System Dynamics Modelling and Simulation for Promoting Sustainable Development and Access to Education in Rural Tanzania

Invited abstract in session WA-18: OR Education 1, stream OR Education.

Wednesday, 8:30-10:00
Room: Esther Simpson 2.09

Authors (first author is the speaker)

1. Rossen M. Kazakov
Scenariosim Lab
2. Genuine Mwasha
The Roof of Africa
3. Yavora Kazakova
University of York
4. Penka Petrova
World Business Web Association

Abstract

The Roof of Africa Project utilizes system dynamics modelling and scenario simulation to evaluate and refine its interventions. This approach provides a robust framework for understanding and addressing complex, interconnected challenges. Through system dynamics modelling, policymakers can visualize how interventions such as financial incentives, infrastructure development, and societal attitude shifts impact outcomes like school enrolment and community well-being over time. Baseline and intervention scenarios enable policymakers to compare the effectiveness of various initiatives, identifying those with the most significant and sustainable benefits. The modelling process captures feedback loops, such as the relationship between increased primary school enrolment and community support or how improved attitudes toward education reinforce student participation. These insights help optimize policy design. Scenario simulations provide a long term forecast of intervention outcomes, offering critical insights into timing, sustainability, and resource allocation to achieve long-term developmental goals. Adjustable parameters in the simulation model allow for sensitivity testing, identifying leverage points that maximize impact with minimal resources. Scenario simulation results are visually and quantitatively communicated, fostering collaboration among government agencies, NGOs, and local communities to align goals and resources.

Keywords

Status: accepted

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