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4325. Using Expert Systems for simulation modelling of Hass avocado farming

Invited abstract in session TC-12: DSS in Agriculture, stream OR in Agriculture and Forestry .

Tuesday, 12:30-14:00
Room: 13 (building: 116)

Authors (first author is the speaker)

1. Aida Huerta-Barrientos
Operations Research, National Autonomous University of Mexico
2. aidee luz
faculta de ingenieria, UNAM
3. Alma Elia Vera-Morales
Systems Planning, National Autonomous University of Mexico

Abstract

In recent decades, the avocado fruit has gained popularity so many countries including United States, area among the biggest importer of this fruit, which implies a growing demand for this market. In Mexico context, micro and small producers are the ones who sustain most of the avocado exports in Michoacán. Decision making for the management of avocado production is a complex issue due to the large number of variables associated with developing a feasible production function and business plan. Although studies have been conducted by authors, the use of Expert Systems to modelling and simulation the farmer decision making process on Hass avocado production is still insufficiently explored. This paper addresses the need to design and implement an expert system for simulation modelling of Hass avocado farming for solving complex issues affecting the avocado production in Mexico context. First, we present the literature review about the use of Expert System tool for modelling and simulation the farmer decision making process on Hass avocado production. Second we describe the formulation and implementation of an Expert System for simulation modelling of Hass avocado farming using Netlogo software. In particular, we discuss a case study in Mexico. Then, the main results of our analysis are showed. Finally, we present our conclusions.

Keywords

Status: accepted

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