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3254. Assessing responsible anticipation over time. The factual and symbolic sides of future-oriented practices
Invited abstract in session WC-11: Scenarios and foresight practices: Behavioural issues III, stream Behavioural OR.
Wednesday, 12:30-14:00Room: 12 (building: 116)
Authors (first author is the speaker)
| 1. | Anne Marchais-Roubelat
|
| Lirsa, Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers | |
| 2. | Fabrice Roubelat
|
| Unesco chair on Foresight and strategic international intelligence, University of Poitiers - IAE - Cerege |
Abstract
Assessing responsibility and irresponsibility in anticipation practices, this research questions future-oriented organizational and personal behaviours over time from both factual and symbolic perspectives (Marchais-Roubelat, 2012). Together with the concepts of responsible futures (Arnaldi et al, 2020, Fuller and Roubelat, 2021) and of responsible foresight (Tonn, 2018, Van der Duin, 2019), the one of responsible anticipation introduces the stance of responsibility in future-making activities.
As a commitment to action (Fuller, 2017, Marchais-Roubelat, 2021), anticipation offers critical viewpoints to assess the responsibility of future-oriented practices in a principle of action for situating acts, their effects and their assessments from multiple moving rules over time. Supplementing axiological and deontological dimensions of anticipation (Danaher, 2021), the principle of action stresses the factual and the symbolic sides of commitments, of their effects, as well as of their assessment.
From the longitudinal study of the sustainability of nuclear energy in anticipation practices from 1950s to present, we suggest that this principle of action be part of a critical approach to assess the responsibility of anticipation practices. Such a responsible anticipation faces the gaps between future and past or present assessments and invite to introduce the risk of anachronism to question responsible or irresponsible behaviours.
Keywords
- Behavioural OR
Status: accepted
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