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3240. The optimal mix of incapacitations and social programs for fighting cartel violence in Mexico

Invited abstract in session MD-33: Optimal control in organizations, stream Optimal Control Theory and Applications.

Monday, 14:30-16:00
Room: 42 (building: 303A)

Authors (first author is the speaker)

1.	Gernot Tragler
	Institute for Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Vienna University of Technology
2.	Gustav Feichtinger
	Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Vienna University of Technology
3.	Dieter Grass
	Vienna University of Technology
4.	Jonathan Caulkins
	H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy & Management, Carnegie Mellon University
5.	Rafael Prieto-Curiel
	Complexity Science Hub
6.	Stefan Wrzaczek
	Economic Frontiers, Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
7.	Gian Maria Campedelli
	Fondazione Bruno Kessler

Abstract

Cartels in Latin America pose a significant threat to societal stability and public safety, perpetuating extensive violence and socio-economic disruption. Despite substantial investments in security measures by states like Mexico and the U.S., violence continues to escalate, and the power of cartels remains resilient. In this presentation we examine the effectiveness of current strategies and propose a novel approach using optimal control theory to analyze cartel dynamics. By modelling the allocation of resources between security initiatives and social programs, this study aims to identify an optimal strategy for reducing cartel violence and mitigating its impacts on society. Through this analytical lens, we offer insights into potential avenues for more effective policymaking and resource allocation in the ongoing fight against organized crime.

Keywords

• Control Theory
• Complex Societal Problems
• OR/MS and the Public Sector

Status: accepted

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