EURO 2024 Copenhagen
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2543. Incorporating stakeholders’ behaviours in foresight practices. Insights from corporate engagement in climate change adaptation action-based scenarios

Invited abstract in session WB-11: Scenarios and foresight practices: Behavioural issues II, stream Behavioural OR.

Wednesday, 10:30-12:00
Room: 12 (building: 116)

Authors (first author is the speaker)

1. Fabrice Roubelat
Unesco chair on Foresight and strategic international intelligence, University of Poitiers - IAE - Cerege
2. Anne Marchais-Roubelat
Lirsa, Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers

Abstract

Exploring scenario design as an anticipation of future actions, the purpose of this research is to examine the issues raised by the incorporation of stakeholders’ behaviours in the process as well as in the content of scenario and foresight practices. Scenario literature may either refer to the engagement of multiple stakeholders in the scenario process (Bryson et al., 2016, Crawford, 2019, Mukherjeea et al., 2020) or to the incorporation of stakeholder analysis in scenario design (Bradfield et al., 2015, Marchais-Roubelat and Roubelat, 2016).
We discuss the lessons from an action-research on the engagement of industries in climate change adaptation (Roubelat and Marchais-Roubelat, 2022). The scenario design process implied the making of groups of stakeholders with members of various industries to explore their futures from four perspectives: crises, value chains, networks, temporalities. The content of scenarios was designed from prospective stakeholders’ acts engaging industries in climate change adaptation, and to be ruled and challenged over time together with questioning stakeholders’ capacities to act.
Results stress on the process perspective the interest for a foresight collaborative process between different industries rather than focusing on a specific one to share experiences. On the content one, this participatory work beyond business silos produced community-based engagement scenarios empowering disempowered or supporting role stakeholders.

Keywords

Status: accepted

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