EURO 2024 Copenhagen
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2282. Coherent forecasting for Supply Chain Optimisation

Invited abstract in session WC-57: Forecasting for the middle mile, stream Optimization at Amazon.

Wednesday, 12:30-14:00
Room: S06 (building: 101)

Authors (first author is the speaker)

1. Hermina Petric Maretic
2. Sidharth Gupta
Amazon
3. Juba Nait Saada
Amazon
4. Chris George
ATS, Amazon

Abstract

The precision of planning and decision making in Amazon is heavily reliant on sophisticated forecasting methods. These forecasts, often made independently, enable different aspects of logistic chain, such as truck scheduling or labor planning. However, in reality, they forecast values that often interact or depend on each other, or in the least contain strong correlations. We explore various methods to take these relationships into account, such as hierarchical reconciliation, combinations of forecasting and simulation, modelling input-output system constraints, as well as joint time series forecasting approaches based on diffusion models.

Keywords

Status: accepted


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