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2179. Preferences and risk attitudes in Swiss pesticide governance
Invited abstract in session TD-11: BOR in public policy and environmental decisions, stream Behavioural OR.
Tuesday, 14:30-16:00Room: 12 (building: 116)
Authors (first author is the speaker)
| 1. | Milena Wiget
|
| Environmental Social Sciences, Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology | |
| 2. | Judit Lienert
|
| Environmental Social Sciences (ESS), Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology | |
| 3. | Karin Ingold
|
| Institute Political Science, University of Bern |
Abstract
Negative effects on human health and the environment call for ambitious policies to reduce the risks of agricultural pesticide use. Yet, strategic uncertainty exists, which is often neglected. New policies must be of utility to a range of stakeholders to be implemented. We studied how preferences for achieving multiple conflicting objectives and domain-specific risk attitudes towards uncertain consequences influence the support of new policy alternatives. To this end, we combined concepts from policy analysis and Multi-criteria Decision Analysis. We collected data on preferences, risk attitudes, and policy support from 24 key stakeholders and their collaboration partners in Swiss pesticide governance. Analyzing the data with Bayesian ordinal logistic regression models, we found specific relations between the support of certain policies and preferences, risk attitudes, or both. In wicked socio-environmental decision problems with great uncertainty, we thus suggest considering risk attitudes additionally to preferences to develop ambitious policies with potential for a sustainable transition. Our contribution is threefold: Theoretically, we present an innovative combination of the Advocacy Coalition Framework and Multi-attribute Value/Utility Theory. Methodologically, we describe a standardized approach to elicit preferences and risk attitudes, novel to policy analysis. Practically, we discuss the potential of pesticide risk reduction policies in the case of Swiss agriculture.
Keywords
- Multi-Objective Decision Making
- Risk Analysis and Management
- Behavioural OR
Status: accepted
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