EURO-Online login
- New to EURO? Create an account
- I forgot my username and/or my password.
- Help with cookies
(important for IE8 users)
2116. Exploring the concept of plausibility in the development of future scenarios
Invited abstract in session WB-11: Scenarios and foresight practices: Behavioural issues II, stream Behavioural OR.
Wednesday, 10:30-12:00Room: 12 (building: 116)
Authors (first author is the speaker)
| 1. | Frances O'Brien
|
| Warwick Business School, University of Warwick | |
| 2. | Eleanor Reynolds
|
| Warwick Business School, University of Warwick | |
| 3. | Maureen Meadows
|
| Centre for Business in Society, Coventry University |
Abstract
Scenarios are stories about alternative possible futures which capture key uncertainties. A key concept in the development and presentation of scenarios is that of plausibility. This paper is organised into three sections. First, we offer reflections on how plausibility has been defined and operationalised within the literature. Second, we reflect on experiences of students working with scenarios and how they have explored the plausibility of scenarios developed as part of an assessed participative exercise. Third, we reflect on how the concept was operationalised in a recent application of scenario planning that supported strategic conversations amongst a group of museums during the Covid19 pandemic. We end by drawing together our reflections and comment on their relevance for the practice of scenario development.
Keywords
- Strategic Planning and Management
- Soft OR
Status: accepted
Back to the list of papers