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1535. Time and behavioral implications are neglected in applied environmental decisions
Invited abstract in session TD-11: BOR in public policy and environmental decisions, stream Behavioural OR.
Tuesday, 14:30-16:00Room: 12 (building: 116)
Authors (first author is the speaker)
| 1. | Judit Lienert
|
| Environmental Social Sciences (ESS), Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology | |
| 2. | Fridolin Haag
|
| Integrated Modelling, Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Research (ZMT) | |
| 3. | Philipp Beutler
|
| Environmental Social Sciences (ESS), Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology | |
| 4. | Martijn Kuller
|
| Environmental Social Sciences (ESS), Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology |
Abstract
Time can play a decisive role in practical applications of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) aiming to support environmental and other public policy decisions. When we decide about options that affect environmental (or societal) systems, we often address long time ranges. An overview of applications of MCDA published in non-OR journals (Operational Research) indicates that time is heavily neglected. What about the OR literature? A systematic search of OR journals indicates that the temporal aspect of decision-making in MCDA is also neglected in our field. In this talk, I will present some data to support this claim. Additionally, I shortly present insights from own research projects, where we have started addressing temporal aspects of decision analysis. This includes a prominent question in economics that has not been thoroughly treated in our literature: do preferences change over time; and does it matter? Furthermore, using an example from wastewater infrastructure planning, I demonstrate how we can implement MCDA in complex real-world environmental projects and include time aspects. We used a very pragmatic approach to evaluate decision options over time with MCDA, which nevertheless seemed useful to support decision-making. Various mathematical approaches to deal with temporal decision-making have been proposed, but what about behavioral aspects? I conclude by proposing research questions that could be tackled by the BOR community.
Keywords
- Decision Analysis
- Behavioural OR
- OR in Environment and Climate change
Status: accepted
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