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147. Behavioural aspects of system dynamics use with scenarios
Invited abstract in session WA-11: Scenarios and foresight practices: Behavioural issues I, stream Behavioural OR.
Wednesday, 8:30-10:00Room: 12 (building: 116)
Authors (first author is the speaker)
| 1. | MARTIN KUNC
|
| Southampton Business School, University of Southampton |
Abstract
System dynamics (SD) is a methodology to generate qualitative and quantitative models. SD has two main concepts that are highly suitable to use with scenarios: feedback processes that define the structure of sociotechnical systems and accumulation processes that are responsible for the dynamic behaviour of systems over time. Kunc (2023) proposes framework that integrates methodologically scenarios and SD where the integration can take multiple forms depending on the use of SD for creating or supporting scenarios. Lane (2017) proposes a behavioural focus for SD in terms of its contributions related to mental models, encountering the world, building and implementing formal models, and content of formal models. This work evaluates how the behavioural focus of SD can support overcome some of the behavioural issues in scenario development process such as cognitive biases, effective group facilitation and overcoming business-as-usual thinking (Bryson et al, 2016)
Keywords
- Behavioural OR
- Soft OR
- Simulation
Status: accepted
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