Operations Research 2025
Abstract Submission

169. Determining the optimal time to purchase emission rights under uncertainty of the carbon dioxide price

Invited abstract in session FA-6: Risk Management, stream Financial Management and Accounting.

Friday, 8:45-10:15
Room: H9

Authors (first author is the speaker)

1. Anna Uhrmeister
Accounting, University of Bielefeld

Abstract

The awareness of climate change and the corresponding need for climate protection have become omnipresent for companies nowadays. In 2005, the European Commission established the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU-ETS), in order to mitigate the effects of anthropogenic climate change and render them more predictable. From 2027, as a result of the so-called Green Deal, energy-intensive industries will in general be continue to be supported by free subsidies, but these will be massively reduced for sectors affected by the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). The ramifications for companies are still uncertain.
Along with the implementation of the EU-ETS, companies are faced with the challenge of making decisions on the purchase of European Emission Allowances (EUA’s). The study aims to provide an overview of the range of strategies a company is faced with. Subsequently, a selection of possible scenarios is analyzed e.g. the optimum time of purchase, considering capital commitment costs. Furthermore, the uncertainty caused by fluctuations in EUA‘s prices are considered.

Keywords

Status: accepted


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