1753. Two sides of the same precarious coin: Addressing Conflict and Climate Crises through Mindanao’s Lens
Invited abstract in session WD-55: Decision Support for Complex Humanitarian Crises, stream Humanitarian Operations.
Wednesday, 14:30-16:00Room: Liberty 1.09
Authors (first author is the speaker)
| 1. | Patience Saungweme
|
| Logistics Management, WHU Otto Beisheim School of Management | |
| 2. | Stefan Spinler
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| Kuehne Foundation Endowed Chair in Logistics Management, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management |
Abstract
Forced displacement is increasingly driven by integrated shocks, yet there exist limitations in how migration policies and humanitarian response mechanisms account for their combined effects. This case study explores the interplay between conflict and climate-induced displacement in Mindanao, a case uniquely illustrating complex crises. We examine how these shocks shape displacement dynamics and decision-making processes of both affected populations and intervening humanitarian actors. Using a mixed-methods approach, we integrate quantitative simulations of migration and response dynamics and their impact, with qualitative disaster preparedness perceptions data. Findings shed light on misalignments existing between humanitarian operations responses and socio-political realities of displaced communities, along with their implications on long-term food security and sustainable livelihoods recovery. By bridging the gap between displaced populations’ needs and institutional responses, this research provides insights into humanitarian operations and policy adaptations necessary for more effective humanitarian responses and enhanced community resilience. We provide initial directions for how integrated strategies can be operationalized through conflict- and climate-sensitive humanitarian response design and leadership, enabling the shift from short-term aid to long-term support that ensures sustainable food security and livelihoods recovery when complex crises become protracted.
Keywords
- Humanitarian Applications
- Disaster and Crisis Management
- Complex Societal Problems
Status: accepted
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