EURO 2025 Leeds
Abstract Submission

1114. Energy consumption Decomposition and Decoupling Analysis in Developing countries with specific reference to India

Invited abstract in session TC-23: OR Challenges for Developing Countries 1, stream OR for Societal Development.

Tuesday, 12:30-14:00
Room: Esther Simpson 3.01

Authors (first author is the speaker)

1. Jinal Parikh
Technology, Operations & Decision Sciences, Amrut Mody School of Management, Ahmedabad University
2. Gerhard-Wilhelm Weber
Faculty of Engineering Management, Poznan University of Technology

Abstract

India targets net-zero emissions by 2070 and a 45% cut in GDP emissions intensity by 2030. However, balancing growth with emission reductions is challenging. In 2023, carbon emissions rose by 190 million tonnes due to strong GDP growth and a weak monsoon, though per capita emissions remain low. With a 9% growth target and a $5 trillion economy goal by 2024–25, managing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is increasingly complex.
Aligned with SDGs 7 and 13, boosting energy efficiency is crucial for climate resilience. However, India’s diverse states and union territories show varying emissions due to differences in industrialization, resources, and demographics, requiring region-specific strategies.
This study examines economic growth and carbon emissions decoupling using panel data, the Tapio index, and the LMDI model. While emissions growth has slowed, full decoupling remains unachieved, particularly in industrial hubs like Maharashtra and Gujarat and coal-dependent states such as Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh.
To achieve decoupling, India must restructure industrial economies, transition to clean energy, expand renewables, and enhance efficiency. This study explores decomposition analysis methods to assess emission drivers and support sustainable growth.
Keywords: OR for Societal Development, Sustainability, Decomposition Analysis, Decoupling Analysis, Tapio Index, LMDI, Energy

Keywords

Status: accepted

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